Author: cade metz. www.wired.com
Date of publication:
02.04.16.02.04.16
Time of publication: 7:00 am.7:00 am
Ai is transforming google search. The rest of the web is next
YESTERDAY, THE 46-YEAR-OLD Google veteran
who oversees the company’s search engine, Amit Singhal, announced his
retirement. And in short order, Google revealed that Singhal’s rather enormous
shoes would be filled by a man named John Giannandrea. On one level, these are
just two guys doing something new with their lives. But you can also view the
pair as the ideal metaphor for a momentous shift in the way things work inside
Google—and across the tech world as a whole.
Giannandrea, you see, oversees
Google’s work in artificial intelligence. This includes deep neural networks, networks of hardware and software
that approximate the web of neurons in the human brain. By analyzing vast
amounts of digital data, these neural nets can learn all sorts of useful tasks,
like identifying photos, recognizing commands spoken into a smartphone, and, as
it turns out, responding to Internet search queries. In some cases, they can
learn a task so well that they outperform humans. They can do it better. They
can do it faster. And they can do it at a much larger scale.
This approach, called deep learning,
is rapidly reinventing so many of the Internet’s most popular services, from
Facebook to Twitter to Skype. Over the past year, it has also reinvented Google
Search, where the company generates most of its revenue. Early in 2015, as Bloomberg recently reported,
Google began rolling out a deep learning system called RankBrain that helps
generate responses to search queries. As of October, RankBrain played a role in
“a very large fraction” of the millions of queries that go through the search
engine with each passing second.
As Bloomberg says, it
was Singhal who approved the roll-out of RankBrain. And before that, he and his
team may have explored other, simpler forms of machine learning. But for a
time, some say, he represented a steadfast resistance to the use of machine
learning inside Google Search. In the past, Google relied mostly on algorithms
that followed a strict set of rules set by humans. The concern—as described by
some former Google employees—was that it was more difficult to understand why
neural nets behaved the way it did, and more difficult to tweak their behavior.
These concerns still hover over the world of machine
learning. The truth is that even the experts don’t completely understand
how neural nets work. But they do work. If you feed enough photos of a
platypus into a neural net, it can learn to identify a platypus. If you
show it enough computer malware code, it can learn to recognize a virus. If you
give it enough raw language—words or phrases that people might type into a
search engine—it can learn to understand search queries and help respond to
them. In some cases, it can handle queries better than algorithmic rules
hand-coded by human engineers. Artificial intelligence is the future of Google
Search, and if it’s the future of Google Search, it’s the future of so much more.
This past fall, I sat down with
a former Googler who asked that I withhold his name because he wasn’t
authorized to talk about the company’s inner workings, and we discussed the
role of neural networks inside the company’s search engine. At one point, he
said, the Google ads team had adopted neural nets to help target ads, but the
“organic search” team was reluctant to use this technology. Indeed, over the
years, discussions of this dynamic have popped upevery now and again on Quora,
the popular question-and-answer site.
Edmond Lau, who worked on Google’s
search team and is the author of the book The Effective Engineer,
wrote in a Quora post that Singhal carried a philosophical bias against machine
learning. With machine learning, he wrote, the trouble was that “it’s hard to
explain and ascertain why a particular search result ranks more highly than
another result for a given query.” And, he added: “It’s difficult to directly
tweak a machine learning-based system to boost the importance of certain
signals over others.” Other ex-Googlers agreed with this characterization.
Yes, Google’s search engine was always driven by algorithms
that automatically generate a response to each query. But these algorithms
amounted to a set of definite rules. Google engineers could readily change and
refine these rules. And unlike neural nets, these algorithms didn’t learn on
their own. As Lau put it: “Rule-based scoring metrics, while still complex,
provide a greater opportunity for engineers to directly tweak weights in specific
situations.”
But now, Google has incorporated deep learning into its
search engine. And with its head of AI taking over search, the company seems to
believe this is the way forward.
Losing Control
It’s true that with neural nets, you lose some control. But
you don’t lose all of it, says Chris Nicholson, the founder of the deep
learning startup Skymind. Neural networks are really just math—linear
algebra—and engineers can certainly trace how the numbers behave inside these
multi-layered creations. The trouble is that it’s hard to understand why a
neural net classifies a photo or spoken word or snippet of natural language in
a certain way.
“People understand the linear algebra behind deep learning.
But the models it produces are less human-readable. They’re machine-readable,”
Nicholson says. “They can retrieve very accurate results, but we can’t always
explain, on an individual basis, what led them to those accurate results.”
What this means is that, in order to tweak the behavior of
these neural nets, you must adjust the math through intuition, trial, and
error. You must retrain them on new data, with still more trial and error.
That’s doable, but complicated. And as Google moves search to this AI model,
it’s unclear how the move will affect its ability to defend its search results
against claims of unfairness or change the results in the face of complaints.
These concerns aren’t trivial. Today, Google is facing an
European anti-trust investigation into whether it unfairly demoted the pages of
certain competitors. What happens when it’s really the machines making these
decisions, and their rationale is indecipherable? Humans will still guide these
machines, but not in the same way they were guided in the past.
In any event, deep learning has arrived on Google Search.
And the company may have used other forms of machine learning in recent years,
as well. Though these technologies sacrifice some control, Google believes, the
benefits outweigh that sacrifice.
To be sure, deep learning is still
just a part of how Google Search works. According to Bloomberg, RankBrain helps Google deal with about 15
percent of its daily queries—the queries the system hasn’t seen in the past.
Basically, this machine learning engine is adept at analyzing the words and
phrases that make up a search query and deciding what other words and phrases
carry much the same meaning. As a result, it’s better than the old rules-based
system when handling brand new queries—queries Google Search has never seen
before.
But over time, systems like this will play an even greater
role inside Internet services like Google Search. At one point, Google ran a
test that pitted its search engineers against RankBrain. Both were asked to
look at various web pages and predict which would rank highest on a Google
search results page. RankBrain was right 80 percent of the time. The engineers were
right 70 percent of the time.
This doesn’t detract from Singhal’s work. He joined Google
in 2000, and a year later was named a Google Fellow, the highest honor Google
bestows on its engineers. For most of Google’s history, he has ruled the
company’s search engine, and that search engine pretty much ruled the Internet.
But machine learning is rapidly changing that landscape. “By
building learning systems, we don’t have to write these rules anymore,” John
Giannandrea told a room full of reporters inside Google headquarters this
fall. “Increasingly, we’re discovering that if we can learn things rather than
writing code, we can scale these things much better.”
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