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Why your car will be connected to the Internet by 2020
With
infotainment systems pushing boundaries, new cars now come with a basic system
based on the Internet of Vehicles (IoV) paradigm.
Lucas Mearian
(Computerworld (US)) 09 April, 2015 05:
As the capabilities of vehicle
infotainment systems advance, and consumers come to expect information in real
time, new car models are shipping with a basic system based on the Internet of
Vehicles (IoV) paradigm.
By 2020, 75% of the world's cars
will be connected to the Internet, and the growth of IoV will bring in around
$2.94 billion in revenue, according to a new report by Topology, a division of
TrendForce market research.
In addition, autonomous or
self-driving vehicles will enter mass production by 2020 as more major auto
makers in recent years have committed to those vehicles' R&D, according to
Topology.
The scale of the autonomous car
market will likely pass a million-vehicle mark by 2035, according to Topology
analyst Eric Chang.
Driverless cars depend on
development in advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS), which provide safety
features, while IoV enables "smart cars the ability to learn," Chang
said. "And only then can a truly automated driving system be put on the
road."
Many big automakers launched their
automated driving systems products at this year's CES. Fueled by Google's
driverless car project, traditional carmakers are eager to show the results of
their research to the public, Topology said.
Besides automotive manufacturers,
component manufacturers, such as Bosch and Denso, and semiconductor
manufacturers, such as Texas Instruments and Infineon, are also aggressively
engaging in R&D of automated driving systems. Their approach is to enter
the field with sensors and driver assistance systems, the report said.
Improvements to automated driver
systems will also push developments in smart-car driving assistance systems and
IoV-related technologies.
Topology stated that ADAS and IoV
products and services will become mainstream in the auto market beginning this
year through 2020. By then, ADAS will be in the majority of vehicles.
ADAS, which is primarily to alert
the driver of potential accidents, is likely to become the standard in all
entry-level vehicles, Topology said.
Products that offer the ability to
take over control of the cars, by contrast, will become optional.
As for the IoV market, the
collaboration among different sectors will accelerate growth. These
collaborators include automakers, semiconductor firms and governments that are
rolling out infrastructure that can wirelessly communicate with vehicles. For
example, any poor roadway conditions or an accident ahead could automatically
be detected in order to warn oncoming traffic.
"Thus, the important step for
companies working on automated driving systems is to have ADAS and IoV equipped
... mass-produced vehicles," Chang added.
The future development of autonomous
vehicles will depend on sensors for reading biological data inside a vehicle
and environmental data outside; communication technology; and driver assist and
decision-making systems. "Every one of these technologies is indispensable
to the industry," Chang said.
TrendForce's research into
autonomous and connected vehicles buttresses a similar
report by Gartner last year, which predicted 150 million vehicles
would be IoV capable by 2020.
While much IoV research in developed
countries is currently centered around driving safety technology and emergency
rescue features, consumers are increasingly interested in convenience.
The added connectivity will enable
carmakers to change their business model from pure hardware developers to tech
innovators that draw income from mobile apps. To do that, however, vehicle
manufacturers will need to team up with companies such as Google, Apple and
Samsung.
"To facilitate that kind of
shift, connected-vehicle leaders in automotive organizations need to partner
with existing ecosystems like Android Auto or Apple CarPlay that can simplify
access to and integration of general mobile applications into the
vehicle," Gartner analyst Thilo Koslowski said in the report.
As the amount of information being
fed into a vehicle head units or telematics systems grows, cars will be able to
capture and share not only internal systems status and location data, but also
changes in surroundings in real time, according to Koslowski.
The result: Ultimately, your car
will become just another part of your mobile data plan.
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